Thursday, April 07, 2011

Stephen Harper Does Not Want YOU To Vote

Stephen Harper and his operatives in the Conservative War Room have determined exactly who they want to show up at the polls on May 2. They don’t want YOU.

In 2008, only 59 per cent of those eligible to vote did so. The Conservatives hope the turnout will fall further still. And they are doing everything they can to get 40 per cent of those who do vote to vote Conservative. That 40 per cent needs to be carefully spread out across the country, with particular attention to several dozen ridings that are up for grabs in the lower mainland of B.C. and on Vancouver Island, in suburban Manitoba, on the edges of the Greater Toronto Area donut, in southwestern Ontario, in the region around Quebec City, and in targeted locations in the Atlantic Provinces.

Here’s the profile of those they’d like to see at the polls: white men over fifty, especially those who don’t spend much time in city centres; Christian fundamentalists; those in “ethnic” communities who have been vetted by Jason Kenney (a leaked memo exposed the Conservative plan to harvest votes from those they depict as “ethnics”); gun owners; youngish neo-cons who want to grow up to be like David Frum (not a large demographic); and, of course the rich, as well as those who think they will be rich. Women are generally unreliable; and the young are a downright menace. If you’re under twenty-five, Harper almost certainly wants you to pass on voting. Look what happened to the nineteen year old woman who was muscled out of a Harper rally because Conservative spooks found a picture of her on Facebook side by side with Michael Ignatieff.

If all goes according to the War Room plan, the Conservatives should win a bare majority of seats in the House of Commons. With 59 per cent of Canadians voting and 40 per cent of those who do vote choosing Conservative candidates, the planners are counting on winning a majority of seats with the support on election day of 23.6 per cent of Canadians who are eligible to vote.

This is no old-time Canadian election in which party leaders use the biggest megaphone they can find to reach the largest number of Canadians through newspapers and the television networks. In those old-time elections, about 75 per cent of those eligible actually voted.

For Harper’s War Roomers, the idea is to keep the various bits of the message as narrowly focused as possible to hit those who are targeted without riling up those not intended to hear parts of the message that are not for them. Take the Conservative pledge----I don’t use the term Tory to depict these Reformers-Without-Stetsons---to kill the long-gun registry as an example. The Harperites have selected the ridings they believe Conservatives can pick up from other parties by focusing on the gun registry---the NDP-held seat in Welland in Southern Ontario is a case in point.

There, Harper hammers home the pledge to eliminate the gun registry. But it’s not a message he wants people in the GTA, not too far away from Welland, to hear. People in the GTA generally support the gun registry. In the GTA, Harper would rather talk about the benefits of “stability” that supposedly flow from majority government, as he recently did, to a selected group of influential representatives of those described by the Conservatives as “ethnic” media organizations, mostly newspaper publishers.

For every target audience, there is a message. For corporate Canada, the message is the lowest corporate taxes on offer. For high-income families, the message is tax cuts through income splitting, although not until the deficit has been eliminated (don’t hold your breath). For the oil patch, the message is full speed ahead with the oil sands, the environment be damned. For communities close to military bases, the message is that austerity applies to everybody but the military.

Lower voter turnout is not just a lucky break for the Conservatives. Right-wing political parties have been assiduously working to lower voter turnout in Canada, the U.S. and Europe for several decades. While running for office, the leaders of these parties denigrate government, those who work for governments and the benefits to society that flow from government programs. They promote the idea that politicians are cynics who are “all the same”, “in it for themselves” and “not to be trusted.” (The rich, who DO vote, know that whatever the ethical merits of those who hold leadership positions of right-wing parties, they can always be counted on to back business against labour and to spend billions bailing out the banks when that is required.)

Negative advertising, it has long been known, has the effect of driving down voter turnout in the electorate at large.

No, Stephen Harper does not want YOU to vote. His plan is to tranquilize the majority of Canadians into a state of torpor while he takes complete control of the instruments of the Canadian state.

10 comments:

Lorne said...

I can't disagree with anything in your analysis. The question is, given the relatively high proportion of politically disengaged Canadians, what can be done to thwart this pernicious and anti-democratic objective before May2?

Skinny Dipper said...

Some of you read the following blog post yesterday through www.progressivebloggers.ca: http://politicsrespun.org/2011/04/a-rainbow-of-choices-or-why-im-not-voting/ (A Rainbow of Choices or Why I’m Not Voting). It's difficult to get exited about voting even though I would love Harper to be defeated.

Yes, Harper is an autocrat. He is a one-man show who will probably enact policies that will make Canada a meaner place. He is the anti-democrat. However, neither Ignatieff nor Layton have demonstrated that they are the pro-democracy candidates. They cannot be compared to Lech Walesa, Vaclav Havel, and those unknown democracy activists in Tunisia, Libya, Egypt, Yemen, Bahrain, and Iran. Ignatieff promises autocracy with a smile; Layton promises seniors Mayberry.

Stephen Harper may get his majority because Canadians like me may not vote. If the opposition parties want my vote, they need to earn it through meaningful proposals to improve democracy that includes endorsing voting reforms through proportional representation. If nothing happens on the democratic front, I'll be a non-voting senior in the future.

Bill Bell said...

Dear Skinny Dipper:
Like you, I'm a 'senior' and I want to tell you there's another way to look at this one.

Even if you think that none of Ignatieff, Layton and May have 'earned' your vote in any very positive way, surely Harper has earned the loss of it _to_ somebody else. Look at the other three and make up your mind. No party will ever suit any of us entirely. We pick the one we dislike least and hope that this moves the country in the right direction, in this case away from Harper.

It's not just about defeating Harper either. When you vote you are supporting the platform of the party you have chosen. There's a small monetary benefit to them but, more importantly, there's a message to the other parties.

Vote.

Unknown said...

So, SkinnyDipper, you’re working with Fair Vote, right?

Sometimes, a choice between bad and worse is all the choice you’ve got while you work for more meaningful change. Refusing to vote in Canada in 2011 because we don’t especially like any of the choices on offer is like a kid who’s given a choice between a second-hand bike and a beating, but refuses to choose because they want a pony.

I’ve spent the past five years wondering what it would take for Canadians to realize that we’re dealing with in Stephen Harper and the Conservatives is too dangerous for us to be able to afford the luxury of apathy and cynicism. To paraphrase someone or other, if you don’t vote, the terrorist wins.

Tomorrow, I’m going to a local candidate’s open house. I’ll be looking for signatures for the Fair Vote Declaration of Voters’ Rights and carrying a shitload of Fair Vote flyers. I have no idea how many people might sign, but at some point Canadians will recognize that proportional representation and coalition are how adults do democracy. When we’ve grown up that much, who knows what might be possible?

Unknown said...

I think for as long as Canadians don't wake up to the fact that the voting system is a nothing but a false system of representation, the governing parties can take great advantage in securing their positions.
http://vimeo.com/21071673

Anonymous said...

You can add to this group Zionist and there power who Harper is courting with his unconditional support of Israeli aggression.

Anonymous said...

Those of you who won't be voting, despite the risk of a Harper victory, you are letting the perfect be the enemy of the good. We will never find a politician who is without flaws or who completely reflects our own views. But I work in the govt, and see everyday the high cost of him being in power. People will suffer greatly if he wins again. Not voting is like letting your sink back up because you don't like the plunger you have.

Anonymous said...

Prof. James:
The heart and soul of the Liberal party, its ethnic base -- Italians, Jews, Greeks, Chinese and South Asians -- is no more. They've all moved on, mostly to the Conservatives. Mainstream Jews are charmed by the PM's unquestioning support for Israel. South Asians, like him too. Relying on extended families as they do, they've no interest in social programs such as child and eldercare. They like the Harper tax cuts. They'll need the cash to pay for the user fees in our underfunded and privatized medicare program. But the PM will appeal to SouthAsian misogyny by gnawing away at divorce and abortion rights. Forget appealing to the courts. They'll swarm with Harper-appointed moss-backs.
Somosa by somosa and knish by knish, the PM is leading us to a Dark Age.

Anonymous said...

Touche! His hope is that if he continues to tell Canadians that voting is a waste of citizens' time and only a ploy by the opposition parties to get a coalition government, that he'll get a majority because all the while, he and tea partyers are busy arranging mass transport to go to polls. He's great at selling fear as this article humorously points out: http://pepperpot.ca/society-and-politics/stephen-harper-majority-7-more-bogeymen-he-needs-protection-from/. It's pathetic to me that some Canadians boast about not voting, yet support a government that claims it's going overseas to promote democracy in oppressed countries, while telling Canadians to not vote. Skinny Dipper, buy a clue.

Anonymous said...

At least Harper dosen't bad mouth any of the other party learders!