Sunday, August 20, 2006

Two Cheers for Bob Rae

Two charges are regularly made against Bob Rae. The first, leveled by Ontario NDP leader Howard Hampton, is that Rae is an “opportunist.” The second, encountered frequently in comments from people with various ideological perspectives, is that Bob Rae left the Ontario government in a fiscal shambles and the provincial economy tattered and torn. Both of these charges are a crock.

Let me dispose of the second one first. Bob Rae was sworn in as premier of Ontario in September 1990, at a time when the North American economy was sliding into the deepest recession since the Great Depression of the 1930s. Two things made the economic plunge in Ontario particularly severe. The Bank of Canada’s tight money policy in the early 90s hit Canada right between the eyes. The Bank was more monetarist than Milton Friedman in those years, and was much more monetarist in refusing to ease up on interest rates than the Fed in the U.S. The consequence was a longer and deeper recession, with higher levels of unemployment, north of the border than in the United States. For a refresher course on what happened, read Linda McQuaig’s book, Shooting the Hippo.

The second disaster for Ontario was the onset of free trade in January 1989. The first years of the FTA and later of NAFTA were especially hard on Ontario. In that period, U.S. investments in Canada remained flat while Canadian investments in the United States skyrocketed. During the 1990s, Canadian investments in the U.S. soared until they were two thirds as high as American investments in Canada. That shift was underway even before free trade, but the onset of free trade dramatically intensified it. What was happening was that Canadian business was using the free trade regime as an opportunity to run away from Canada, to the southern U.S. and to Mexico, in search of lower wages and taxes, less stringent environmental rules, and to escape from unions. The flight of Canadian capital to the U.S. during the 1990s is the great untold story of the impact of free trade on Canada.

As premier of Ontario, Bob Rae could do nothing about Canadian monetary policy and the impact of NAFTA. During its first couple of years in office, the Rae government tried to ride out the storm by not adding to the misery through sharp cuts in its own spending. Eventually, the government concluded that it had to face the worsening fiscal situation head on. It brought in a program that raised taxes, cut spending and reduced the payroll in the public sector, through the so-called “Rae Days”, additional holidays that cut public sector pay without laying off employees. The last element, the so-called “social contract”, was the most controversial and is the most remembered. It opened public sector contracts without the agreement of the unions involved. The alternative, as the government saw it, was to lay off employees. My beef with the social contract was that it was imposed from on high and that its political effect was to cast a pall over the Rae government, robbing it of its claim to be progressive.

The point here is not to rehash arguments that have been rehearsed a hundred times, but to stress the truly dire situation in which the Rae government found itself through no fault of its own. Ironically, had Rae stayed in power for another five years, the province would have returned to fiscal health and a balanced budget. Instead the people opted for Mike Harris whose Common Sense Revolution handed huge tax cuts to the highest income earners, and imperiled the government’s recovery and its ability to undertake new social programs. Ontario has still not rebounded from the nightmare of the Harris-Eves years.

The second charge, that Rae is a political “opportunist” grows out of a long established tradition on the left in which opponents charge each other with selling out the working class on the one hand or insist on the other that their rivals are “infantile” leftists. For all the good these arguments have done, this rhetoric would have been put to better use had it been published on rolls of toilet paper.

Philosophically, the Rae government straddled a rather wide area that could be described as progressive liberal or moderate social democrat. (It banned the use of strike breakers and it advanced the cause of employment equity.) People can get very fussed about such distinctions but there is no greater waste of time than the narcissism of small differences. Over the years, there may have been some evolution in the political values of Bob Rae, but I don’t see much. Today he favours a variety of capitalism that places the emphasis on social fairness, education and equality. He’d be very much at home in the centre left in Western Europe. I don’t buy into everything Rae supports. For instance, I sharply disagree with his notion that with higher tuition fees and more support for average and lower income students we can create institutions of higher education that combine quality with accessibility. I think we should work toward the abolition of tuition fees.

Now that Rae is seeking the leadership of the federal Liberal Party, we can see his vision of Canada more clearly than when he was a provincial politician. His federalism combines a strong recognition of the unique place of Quebec within the federation, with a philosophy of social fairness that should ameliorate regional antagonisms and disparities. Most of all, he is a clear opponent of a neo-conservative global policy for Canada. He would stand up to Stephen Harper on this most critical of issues and would keep Canada out of the Anglo Gang of Four (with the U.S., the U.K. and Australia.) He has sharply challenged Michael Ignatieff on this issue and has made it plain that he doesn’t want a Liberal Party that is an echo of the Conservatives.

Rae has decided over the past decade that his natural political home is in the Liberal Party. Fair enough. He has come to that conclusion in the same way that Pierre Trudeau did and for reasons that are just as legitimate. Others can disagree with the choice he has made, but they ought not to question his motives.

My own choice is to remain with the NDP. As a socialist, I believe that reforming capitalism in the interests of all is a much more daunting challenge than progressive liberals like Rae are willing to admit. Further, I believe that the socialist and social democratic tradition that has been fostered with such courage and energy over more than seven decades must be kept alive. The left needs a political party and it is the NDP.

That said, progressive liberals and socialists have a common foe in Stephen Harper’s hard-right government. Bob Rae has made it clear that one of the reasons for his switch to the Liberal Party is to combat the very real threat from the right.

As a non-Liberal, I won’t offer advice to Liberals on which candidate they ought to choose as leader. If Bob Rae gets the job and beats Harper in the upcoming election, I’ll sleep better at night. But I reserve the right to have sharp words of criticism for Rae on those not infrequent occasions when socialists and liberals need to argue about their important differences.

17 comments:

Steve V said...

Well argued!

Stephen said...

An interesting post.

What did you think of Rae's book 'The Three Questions,' if you happened to read it?

Parts of it seemed to me to be saying that our current form of capitalism is about the best economic system we can reasonably hope for, except for some moderating reforms. That sounded to me like heralding the end of economic history, and I'd like to think it's not true.

Second, I crashed a Liberal luncheon held for Rae at the Ramada in downtown Regina last spring (I'm an NDPer), and heard what he proposed as his pitch for the next election, if he becomes leader.

Basically, he said that a Conservative win would be so disastrous for Canada on three key files (Kelowna, Kyoto and Child Care), that voters should flock to the Liberals to stop Harper (he repeatedly dismissed the NDP as an irrelevant fringe offering unrealistic 'counsels of perfection,' unworthy of the votes of people interested in stopping Harper).

Do you think that message would work for him and for the Liberals in an election? How should the NDP respond to it, if at all?

James Laxer said...

In response to Stephen: I think the NDP has to reclaim a lot of the socialist ground that we have given up in recent years. The party needs to push for basic changes that don't accept our current brand of capitalism as the best to be hoped for. That means putting the interests of wage and salary earners front and centre in ways we have not for many years.

At the same time, the NDP should not deny that there is a problem with Harper. During the recent election campaign, the NDP helped Harper by reinforcing his attacks on Liberal corruption. That stance has put the party in a strategically vulnerable position heading into the next election. It will now be very hard for Jack Layton to claim that he has been clear from day one on facing up to the threat from the neo-cons.

I know that warning people about the danger of a Harper majority and what it would bring may drive some people to vote for the Liberals out of fear. If the NDP fails to do it, however, the party will end up where it was after 1988---with no credibility. And that led to the disaster of 1993.

Tell the truth about the threats we face, even if they are not always electorally convenient, and stick to basic principles and the NDP will come through intact.

Anonymous said...

Bravo J Laxer

Anonymous said...

Let me start by saying that I am no fan of Mike Harris. Especially not a fan of Harper. I think Harper is screwing the country by being a lapdog to Bush. However, I disagree about Bob Rae. I think he is an opportunist who wants to be Prime Minister. How come he was the only premier who suffered as result of economic down turn? I believe he simply did not know how to govern and he made a mess of things. If he could not govern Ontario then how he qualifies to govern whole of Canada. I think if Liberals elect him as a leader, it will be a blunder. Liberals will be in the political wilderness for a long time. Then rest of the slate of candidates for the leadership does not look that exciting either.

I agree with your comments about Jack Layton. He practically offered the election win to Harper in a platter by relentlessly attacking Liberals.

Harrap said...

I just wanted to say I enjoy reading your blog and admire your work as an author and political activist.

The Liberal leadership race is an interesting affair - despite those who consider it a yawm - and it's important as every Liberal leader from Laurier onwards has become Prime Minister.

Stephen said...

I agree with you about stressing the basic interests of salary and wage earners.

I have a different view of the last election campaign, however, perhaps because I participated in it in Saskatchewan where Layton (I must have seen him speak in Regina/Moose Jaw a half-dozen times) took every occasion to warn what electing Conservative MPs might mean (e.g. for health care, for the Wheat Board). Nevertheless, he also did, I admit, attack the Liberals as well.

Perhaps this strategy was adopted because, in Saskatchewan, a number of federal ridings are Orange-Blue fights with the Liberals coming third (not that this fact stopped Liberals here from arguing in 2006, as Martin did here as well in 2004, that a Liberal vote was the vote to stop Stephen Harper in Saskatchewan).

Also, while I agree about the threat from Harper, particularly a Harper majority, I think the Liberals exaggerate some differences between themselves and the Conservatives. Foreign and Defence policy are a couple of key areas in which this happens: while Harper is no doubt too close to Bush, Canada's two principal overseas efforts under Martin (Afghanistan and Haiti, according to DFAIT), saw Canada in lock-step with the US, and not to our credit, I would maintain.

Parts of the Liberal Foreign Policy and Defence reviews issued in early 2005, furthermore, read to me like 'American Policy Lite.' There are other examples.

Anyway, yours is an interesting blog. Keep it up.

Harrap said...

Both the NDP and the Liberals have muddled and confused the debate about who best to defeat the Conservatives... the Liberal rhetoric of voting NDP being a vote for Harper is denying the fact that the NDP are the strongest contendor to the Tories in some ridings (ie. in Saskatchewan) Layton's downplaying the spectre of Harper and denying the existance of split voting in some ridings further muddles the message to voters.

Strategic voting worked in Britain in 1997, where voters elected the Liberal Democrats in ridings where they were the strongest contendor to the Tories and Labour where they were likewise the strongest. Both Labour and Liberal Democrats made strong showing and the Tories were trounced.

James Laxer said...

Stephen is right that in Saskatchewan, and at times in B.C., the NDP directly targeted Harper as the enemy. However, in the national media and national advertising, the target was the Liberals, overwhelmingly. I don't have a problem with the NDP attacking the Liberals, what I do regard as unacceptable was the failure to warn Canadians through Jack Layton's national tour that Harper's neo-cons represented an unusually serious threat to progressives.

The point is not that the Liberals are what we want, but that the Conservatives are what we must not have.

The NDP needs to have a two pronged strategy: a movement struggle to win Canadians to a social democratic viewpoint on key issues; and a tactical fight to prevent Harper from winning a majority.

Ellijah A C W Mann said...

James check out this link:

http://www.theglobeandmail.com/servlet/story/RTGAM.20060908.wxrae09/BNStory/National/

i think you will find that even Bob Rae disagree's with you.

Also what nightmare has been left from the Harris-Eves government? And what do you think of the Current one?

Ronnie said...

My my my where to start, a Conservative government is the worst thing that could have happened to Canada!

How did it happen? It sure wasn't Jack Layton's fault, yes he counterattacked / attacked harper, so what, yes he attacked the liberals, so what, he had a point to make. It was an election, they were all in on the frey.

The reason the blue crew got in was becaause of all the so called strategic voting, the votes got split harper & his thugs got in. It really is that simple.

As a person who has spent time on the phones during elections talking to a wide variety of people I have come to realize that if people simply voted for the party they wanted, the blues would not be in power today.
Parliament would be distinctly orange in colour!

I understand what was said about the conservatives being defeated in Britain, however it obviously doesn't work here in Canada. people panicked, and were voting Liberal even in ridings where the NDP could have won, and the con took the seat.

I'm glad you did your speal about Rae, although I don't have much respect for him these days, you are right in that there were many factors that contributed to our economic downturn. Which would have been a lot less of a downturn if the NDP would have been allowed to stay. BUT NOOOOO Ontario had to buy into the cons con, and get Harris in.
If I could meet that man in person I'd spit in his face, or worse but we can't say things like that or we get in trouble lol.

Someone asked if we are still feeling the effects of Harris. I think the over 400,000 people in Ontario alone that live under the poverty line ($16,000/yr) would say yes we do, and the kids that go to bed hungry right next door to you would say the Liberals have NOT helped fix it.

I too am an NDP supporter, and I am working my but off trying to get a resolution passed that deals with this.

People need to forget about Bob Rae and think about the destruction of the conservatives and impotence of the liberals.
VOTE NDP!!!!

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Anonymous said...

Just what Canada needs . . . more hard-left extreme socialism. We're just now starting to crawl out of this cesspool that Trudeau dug for us, and this neo-com wants to shove us back in.

Socialism is a mental disorder of the juvenile. Electing one to government is like giving a drunken teenager your car keys and a credit card.

Ontario NDP said...

If you want to be part of what the NDP used to be join
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